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Week 4 Odds & Predictions

9/30/2021

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                                                                 NFL point spreads Week 4
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*Predicted Winners are in Bold
Predictions Record on the season: 23-25​
  • Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals: CIN -7.5
  • Washington Football Team at Atlanta Falcons: WAS -1.5
  • Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears: CHI -3
  • Tennessee Titans at New York Jets: TEN -7.5
  • Cleveland Browns at Minnesota Vikings: CLE -2.5
  • Indianapolis Colts at Miami Dolphins: MIA -1.5
  • Carolina Panthers at Dallas Cowboys: DAL -4.5
  • New York Giants at New Orleans Saints: NO -7.5 (Upset Pick of the Week) 
  • Kansas City Chiefs at Philadelphia Eagles: KC -7.5
  • Houston Texans at Buffalo Bills: BUF -16.5
  • Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams: LAR -4.5
  • Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers: SF -3
  • Baltimore Ravens at Denver Broncos: DEN -1
  • Pittsburgh Steelers at Green Bay Packers: GB -7
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New England Patriots: TB -7
  • Las Vegas Raiders at Los Angeles Chargers: LAC -3.5
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Week 4 Offensive Line Power Rankings

9/29/2021

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  1. Cleveland Browns (Previous Rank: 1) – The Browns struggled for the first time in pass pro in week three. Baker was sacked five times and pressured 10, and the offensive line was responsible for three of those sacks and nine pressures. However, the Browns were dominant run blocking, as they helped the Browns accumulate over 200 yards rushing. Even with this down game, the Browns do not have a player that has allowed more than five pressures through three games. This is still the best offensive line in football because they can dominate on any given Sunday. If they are struggling in one phase, they can still suceed in the other.  
  2. Dallas Cowboys (Previous Rank: 4) – Right now, the biggest threat to the Browns keeping the top spot is the Cowboys offensive line. They looked like the best offensive line in the NFL in week 3, and they have been playing well even without La’el Collins. Once Collins gets back, it will be interesting to see if Dallas can take the top spot. The play of Terence Steele in Collins’ absence has been a revelation for Dallas. He struggled in pass pro in week two but was more than serviceable in week three. Meanwhile, he has been a beast in the run game. Tyron Smith and Zach Martin are both playing at pro-bowl levels and Connor Williams is quietly becoming one of the better guards in the NFL. The one thing that continues to hurt the Cowboys is Tyler Biadasz. He is still struggling in pass pro, especially against power rushers in one-on-one situations. Even with him struggling, the Cowboys offensive line looks like it is officially back.  
  3. San Francisco 49ers (Previous Rank: 3) – The 49ers were finally in a game where they could not just rely on the run and controlling the clock. They came into this game having one more run snap than pass snap but found themselves with 49 pass snaps to 21 run snaps vs. GB. The 49ers have a good offensive line, but they were never as good in pass pro as their numbers suggested through the first two weeks. The o-line allowed 11 pressures and one sack in week 3. This was the 49ers worst performance of the year so far as they failed to establish a run game, in part because of their offensive line. The good news is, SF got good play from both tackles, especially Williams, who continues to look great. The 49ers will not be passing twice as much as they throw in most games this season, so this was somewhat of an aberration, and 49ers fans should expect them to be fine going forward.  
  4. Los Angeles Rams (Previous Rank: 5) – The Rams have not had one true standout player upfront this season that looks like they can be an all-pro player. However, this is still a great offensive line because they do not have any weak links, and everyone is playing well. This group appears to have the best chemistry of any o-line, and they do the little things right. LA’s offensive line has only been penalized once in three games, by far the best in the NFL.  
  5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Previous Rank: 2) – Despite the terrible performance by the Bucs running the football vs. the Rams, Tampa’s offensive line has not been terrible overall on the season run blocking. They are inconsistent though, and that combined with a head coach that already prefers to throw it anyway is probably causing them to abandon the run earlier than they should at times. Their raw pressure numbers are a little high, but Tampa also throws the ball a lot more than most teams. There is no denying they took a step back in week 3, as they struggled in both phases. However, every offensive line that has played the Rams so far this season has struggled. A perfect example was Ryan Jensen, Tampa’s starting C. He had not allowed a single pressure in the first two games but allowed six in one game vs. the Rams. The Bucs offensive line will be fine moving forward.   
  6. Washington Football Team (Previous Rank: 11) – Washington may be struggling as a team but do not blame the offensive line. This offensive line has been one of the best in the league so far. Ereck Flowers appears to be in the midst of a career year as he is looking like a guy that deserved to be a first-round pick for the first time in his career. Their veteran players in Brandon Scherff and Charles Leno are playing well as expected. Chase Roullier is picking up where he left off last season as one of the best pass-blocking centers. And Samuel Cosmi has been one of the best rookie offensive linemen in the NFL. After a poor week one performance, he has turned it around in pass pro, and he has been one of the best run-blockers in the league all year. They currently do not have a weak link up-front. It is such a same Washington is wasting such great offensive line play this season.  
  7. Arizona Cardinals (Previous Rank: 10) – The Cardinals got back on track in week three after a shaky week two performance. They only allowed six pressures against a Jaguars team that came into week three as one of the better pass-rushing teams in the NFL. The Rodney Hudson offseason addition continues to pay dividends as he still has not allowed a pressure through three games. What has to be most exciting for the Cardinals is that Justin Pugh and Justin Murray, their starting guards, both left the game with injuries and both Max Garcia and Sean Harlow played well in relief. It is rare a team sustains two injuries to the same position in one game and does not miss a beat, but both guys played over 20 pass snaps without allowing a pressure.  
  8. Philadelphia Eagles (Previous Rank: 7) – The Eagles were without OLS favorite Jordan Mailata in week three. While the Eagles allowed the most pressures in their MNF game vs. the Cowboys of any game this season, the tackle position was not the problem. Former first-round pick Andre Dillard played well in Mailata’s place, and Lane Johnson was solid too. The Eagles interior was the issue. Jason Kelce continues to struggle in pass pro, and the loss of Brandon Brooks was on full display as Landon Dickerson allowed a team-high four pressures in week three in his place. At least Issac Seumalo continues to be one of the best guards in pass pro. He has only allowed one pressure all season.  
  9. New England Patriots (Previous Rank: 8) – Let’s start with the Patriots have not been a bad offensive line this season. That being said, they have been one of the most disappointing given their pre-season expectations. Entering the season, they had four players that had a chance to be pro-bowlers. To be fair, Trent Brown was one of those guys, and he has pretty much missed the entire year so far after going down early in week one. But Michael Onwenu continues to be the only Patriot lineman that is living up to expectation. Shaq Mason has been good, but far from the force we have seen him be in the past. Wynn is struggling by his standard as well in both phases as he has not been great in the run game and has already allowed 10 pressures. The Pats biggest problem is that Justin Herron is struggling in place of Trent Brown. He has allowed nine pressures in 98 pass snaps and has not been much better in the run game either.  
  10. Seattle Seahawks (Previous Rank: 9) – The Seahawks played their worst game of the season upfront in week three. Duane Brown played his worst game of the season as he allowed two sacks after entering the game having not allowed a single pressure or sack all season. Brandon Shell was out with an ankle injury, and both Jamarco Jones and Jake Curhan struggled at RT in his absence. Kyle Fuller has struggled in pass pro all season, and the last game was no different. At least Gabe Jackson had his best pass pro game of the season. I think Seattle will be fine as Shell could be back as early as next week, and Brown certainly will not be giving up multiple sacks regularly. But this was a big letdown game for the Seahawks offensive line and their team as a whole.  
  11. Kansas City Chiefs (Previous Rank: 15) – The Chiefs offensive line appears to still be figuring things out, but they have made strides since week one. Given the youth they have upfront, one can reasonably assume they should continue to grow and get better throughout the season. Creed Humphrey continues to shine and has been the most consistent player in this group so far despite being a rookie. The Chiefs should be thrilled Orlando Brown has played a lot better since week one, only allowing one pressure over the past two games. The Chiefs still need more from Thuney in the run game, but he has gotten the job done in pass pro. Overall, the Chiefs want to throw it, and they want big plays. This offensive line, for the most part, has allowed them to do that. Sure, the offensive line has room to improve, especially in the run game, but the Chiefs biggest problems right now are turnovers and defense.  
  12. Green Bay Packers (Previous Rank: 14) – The Packers had to play a tough defensive front without their best two offensive linemen, and they performed well enough to help the Packers win the game. They only allowed five pressures and one sack in their SNF victory over the 49ers. Billy Turner was their best player up front in the game, as he allowed no sacks, pressures, or TFL. Expect the Packers offensive line to be a strength for their team once it is back fully intact because even without key guys they are still a competent group.  
  13. Indianapolis Colts (Previous Rank: 12) – The Colts were already struggling on the offensive line, and now their best player, Quenton Nelson, has a high ankle sprain and is questionable for next week’s game. The Dolphins do not have a great pass rush, but if Nelson and Braden Smith cannot go, it may look like they do. Chris Reed was solid filling in for Nelson, but there is no replacing a player like that. The Colts biggest problem right now is Mark Glowinski. Yes, Julie’n Davenport, has been bad too, but he will be going back to the bench once Smith returns. Glowinski on the other hand is a starter, and he has been one of the worst starting guards in the NFL so far. He is tied for the fourth-most allowed pressures at the guard position, and with Nelson potentially out, The Colts will need a lot more from him. The only reason the Colts are not further down the list is that Nelson and Smith’s injuries do not appear to be devastating as both are questionable for the Colts next game. If they both come back, this offensive line looks a lot different than the one that played the majority of that game vs. Tennessee.  
  14. Los Angeles Chargers (Previous Rank: 16) – The Chargers offensive line had a bounce-back game after a disappointing week two performance. It was an inconsistent performance in pass pro as the o-line allowed 10 pressures, but they did a good job in the run game and probably should have tried to run it more. Storm Norton was serviceable, Corey Linsley played his best game of the season, Slater had his best run-blocking performance, and Matt Feiler looks like a new man after three straight strong performances in the run game. It is not a coincidence that the Chargers best run-blocking game so far came against the Chiefs. They will need to have another performance like this against a better defense before anyone can put any stock into them as a run-blocking group.  
  15. Baltimore Ravens (Previous Rank: 18) – The Ravens as a group look further removed from their week one debacle with each game. Bradley Bozeman is quietly emerging as this team’s best lineman in Ronnie Stanley’s absence. Patrick Mekari, Kevin Zeitler, and Ben Powers have all been solid too good as well. The Ravens biggest problem is Alejandro Villanueva. His performance in week two made many wonder if his week one disaster of a game in pass pro was just an aberration. However, after he allowed eight pressures and one sack in week three it is looking like week two might have been the aberration game.  
  16. Tennessee Titans (Previous Rank: 20) – The Titans have their issues upfront, but the past two weeks have been positive after a rough week one. Taylor Lewan was back in the lineup and resembled his old self. Meanwhile, David Quessenberry continues to play well at the other tackle spot. He has been the Titans best lineman so far this year, and this was his second straight game he did not allow a pressure. The interior offensive line played their best game as a trio as none of them had a bad game. Davis still needs to be better in pass pro, but that group did a solid job overall, and Ben Jones was the best of the interior guys.  
  17. Detroit Lions (Previous Rank: 13) – The Lions offensive line has potential, but this unit lacks consistency. Sewell has been up and down as a run-blocker all season and had his worst overall game this past week. Also, Detroit has one of the worst starting guard tandems in the NFL. Big V has had a trend of bad game, good game, bad game so far this season. Meanwhile, Jonah Jackson was arguably the worst pass-blocking guard through two weeks but was solid in week three. Matt Nelson had struggled in his first two games but played well against the Ravens. Right now, their only reliable player is Frank Ragnow, who has been fantastic in the run game and is the best center in the NFL.  
  18. Buffalo Bills (Previous Rank: 19) – Cody Ford was a disaster in week three, as his 12 allowed pressures in one game might be the worst pass pro performance from any interior lineman all year. Despite that, the Bills offensive line had their best performance of the year in week three, and what do you know, so did Josh Allen. It is a small sample size, but if Allen’s performance is going to be so reliant on this group's ability to pass protect, they have to be more consistent and get more efforts like they had in this past week. The good news for the Bills is Dion Dawkins looks like he is starting to find his rhythm after back-to-back good games.  
  19. Atlanta Falcons (Previous Rank: 21) - The Falcons offensive line played well in week three as everyone except for Kaleb McGary had a good game. Jake Matthews remains a pillar of pass-blocking excellence on the left side. He once again allowed no pressures. But the performance of the three interior guys is what stood out most within this group in their victory over the Giants. Matt Hennessy allowed more pressure than coaches would like to see from the C spot, but the interior guys made the run game work, and Chris Lindstrom is having a pro-bowl caliber season so far.  
  20. New Orleans Saints (Previous Rank: 6) – The Saints were already without their starting C, Erik McCoy, and things are getting worse, as Terron Armstead, their best lineman, is expected to miss several weeks after sustaining an elbow injury early in week three’s game. James Hurst came in and was solid in relief, but this group’s short-term outlook is that this is no longer an elite-caliber offensive line with two starters out. Ryan Ramczyk was good, and they will need him to be even better to help sustain their injuries. The bigger issue is that Calvin Throckmorton and Hurst, both backups, are outplaying their interior starters in Andrus Peat and Cesar Ruiz. Bottom line, until Armstead returns, this offensive line takes a hit in the rankings.  
  21. Denver Broncos (Previous Rank: 17) - The Broncos offensive line has been a solid group for the most part in 2021. They did not play as well in week three as they did in the previous week against a better Jags defensive front, but teams do not need their A-game against the Jets, so most fans probably did not notice. Garrett Bolles and Netane Muti have been the team’s best performers upfront so far and Bobby Massie is coming off his best game of the year.  
  22. Cincinnati Bengals (Previous Rank: 23) – The Bengals beating the Steelers 24-10 was a surprise, but what was more shocking was how the Bengals offensive line handled the Steelers defense. Even without TJ Watt in the lineup, it is hard to believe the Bengals only allowed two pressures the entire game against the Steelers. Quinton Spain had his struggles, but the rest of this group was good all day. Overall, the Bengals offensive line has been inconsistent, but more performances like they had in week three will move them up in the rankings.  
  23. Houston Texans (Previous Rank: 22) – The Texan offensive line had another poor run-blocking performance in the TNF game. When you combine that with them having the worst QB situation in the NFL, it is hard to see the Texans being able to win any games with Davis Mills. Justin Britt is the only one in the group consistently pulling their weight in the run game. The Texans are a solid pass-blocking team, and when Tyrod Taylor returns, that might matter, but in the meantime, the Texans need to run it to minimize Mills’ exposure, and this offensive line makes it hard to commit to the run.  
  24. Minnesota Vikings (Previous Rank: 27) - Brian O’Neill had another game without allowing a pressure, and he has been a rock for this offensive line all season. Udoh is emerging as this unit’s second-best player after back-to-back good games. He has only allowed four pressures all season and has been their best run blocker. The other three spots are what is hurting this line, especially Rashod Hill, who allowed another sack, and three pressures vs. Seattle.  
  25. Carolina Panthers (Previous Rank: 24) - The Panthers won on Thursday night to improve to 3-0, but this offensive line will be an issue moving forward as they begin to face better teams. They allowed 18 pressures and a sack vs. a mediocre Texans defense in a game where everyone except Dennis Daley struggled in pass pro.  
  26. New York Jets (Previous Rank: 30) - The Jets have played three games and scored 20 points. They are easily the worst offense in the NFL averaging just under seven points per game, and the offensive line has contributed to their poor start. However, Zach Wilson’s ineffectiveness as a QB so far has been the Jets biggest issue. This offensive line has its problems, such as Alijah Vera-Tucker and Greg Van Roten, their starting guards, allowing 27 pressures combined. Some teams have yet to allow that many. But they also have some positives, such as their tackle play. Fant is probably this group's best player at the moment and Morgan Mosses is playing solid as well. McGovern can be better in pass pro, but he has mostly been good in the run game. Overall, this group has not been as bad as the Jets offensive numbers might suggest.  
  27. Chicago Bears (Previous Rank: 25) – It seems like there is at least one o-line that has a complete meltdown in pass pro each week, and in week three it was the Bears. Justin Fields was sacked nine times in his debut start, and four of those were directly credited to the offensive line to go along with 13 allowed pressures. Allowing that much pressure on only 45 pass snaps is asinine. Jason Peters looked the worst of any Bears lineman in pass pro because he was not only physically overmatched at times, but he made many critical mental errors. Germain Ifedi was not much better on the other side. What the Bears should be worried about long-term is that their interior guys, primarily James Daniels and Sam Mustipher got exposed when the Browns lined their DEs up inside. More teams might try to take advantage of them in that way after seeing how they performed against the Browns.  
  28. Jacksonville Jaguars (Previous Rank: 26) – Trevor Lawrence is struggling so far. While he may not be making the best decisions, the Jags offensive line is not helping him much. They allowed two sacks and a season-high 16 pressures in week three. Brandon Linder had his worst game of the season as he allowed three pressures and a sack. This offensive line does not have much room for error, and they certainly are not built to succeed when their best offensive lineman plays poorly.  
  29. Las Vegas Raiders (Previous Rank: 28) - The Raiders have the worst offensive line of any winning team in the NFL right now and are winning more despite this group than because of them. Las Vegas gave up 12 pressures vs. the Dolphins, and 10 of those came from the tackle spots. Alex Leatherwood has struggled all season in pass pro and last week’s game was Kolton Miller’s worst game of the year. They are one of the worst run-blocking teams in the NFL and have allowed double-digit pressures in every game this year so far.  
  30. Pittsburgh Steelers (Previous Rank: 29) - The Steelers looked bad on offense in their week three loss to the Bengals, and their offensive line was one of the reasons why. They allowed 11 pressures, but the majority of those came from Dan Moore Jr., who allowed seven. The rest of the group was fine in pass pro. This unit’s major issues were penalties and run-blocking. They had seven penalties on the offensive line and mostly struggled in the run-game for the third straight game.  
  31. New York Giants (Previous Rank: 32) – By this group’s low standards they had an ok day vs. Atlanta. The Giants o-line is still struggling to consistently win blocks in the run game, but they were a lot better this week in pass pro as they cut their pressures in half only allowing eight this week compared to 16 in week two. Andrew Thomas played his best game of the season and has now played well in two of the three Giants games this year. He only allowed one pressure in week three and has only allowed five on the season. Billy Price looked a lot better after a disappointing start to the season in week two. He was the Giants second-best player upfront.  
  32. Miami Dolphins (Previous Rank: 31) – The Dolphins have the worst pass-blocking offensive line in the NFL. They have allowed over 20 pressures in back-to-back games and have four players who have allowed 10 or more pressures in just three games. In their week three matchup vs. The Raiders they allowed 21 pressures and three sacks. They are actually a respectable run-blocking unit, but in today’s game, teams throw more than they pass, and this offensive line does not make it easy on their QBs.  
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Tuesday Film Room: Cowboys Offensive Line Dominates

9/28/2021

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Today's Tuesday Film Room edition will outline how the Dallas Cowboys offensive line contributed to their dominant rushing attack in the week three MNF game. The Cowboys RBs rushed for 155 yards on 28 carries (5.5 YPC) in their 41-21 win. The plays highlighted below show a mix of how the Cowboys offensive line got it done. 

The first play is an 11-yard run off-tackle by Tony Pollard. Everyone does a good job upfront on this play, but Terrence Steele makes a key block to seal the edge and really make this run possible. Steele has now played well in the run-game two weeks in a row filling in for the suspended La'el Collins. The freeze-frame below also outlines how the C, RG, and RT all help make key play-side blocks to spring this run.  
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Steele is highlighted again in play two. It is a three-yard TD run, and Steele makes a key block on Fletcher Cox. He does not dominate Cox, but Steele executes a good reach block to wall Cox off and help create the alley for Zeke to run through. Because of the hole, Zeke is able to get a full head of steam, and by the team any Eagle defender makes contact, they are unable to stop his momentum and keep him out of the endzone. 
Play number three is a basic power run to the left with Zach Martin as the kick-out man. He makes the key block on this play to block the edge guy and pin him inside, which allows Ezekiel Elliott to run clean to the outside and bust this play for a 13 yard gain, his longest run of the night. 
Play four is a microcosm of the Cowboys night run blocking. Dallas only picked up two yards on this play, but it was one of the Cowboys better plays as far as all five guys blocking goes. The only reason this run did not go for a larger gain is that the TE, Dalton Schultz, is unable to maintain his block. However, the freeze frame will show that all five offensive linemen are doing their job in this play. 
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The fifth play is a six-yard run to the left, and Tyron Smith makes a key block. Just watching the play, one might think Smith does not do very much, but his block is critical in establishing the alley that Elliott runs through. The other key factor is the Connor Williams and Tyler Biadsz double team. The Cowboys were successful using double teams to move the Eagles interior guys back and re-establish the line of scrimmage all night. 
Even without one of their best run blockers in Collins, the Cowboys offensive line has looked great run-blocking since Zach Martin returned in week two. Elliott and Pollard have combined for 335 yards rushing on 57 carries (5.8 YPC) in the past two weeks, and the Dallas o-line has been a key reason for their success. The Cowboys offensive line appears to be playing at the elite level they played at prior to all the injuries last season. With the rest of the division struggling, this offensive line is one of the reasons the Cowboys look like early favorites to run away with the NFC East.  
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Monday Film Room: Week 3

9/27/2021

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In this edition of Monday Film Room, we will look at two offensive lines that really struggled. First, Justin Fields was sacked nine times in the Bears vs. Browns game, so we will look at what role the offensive line played in his disastrous first start. The Patriots were supposed to be one of the top five offensive lines in the NFL this season, but they have not lived up to expectations in the first two weeks. Well, the Patriots only rushed for 21 yards on 11 carries on RB runs in week three against the Saints, so we look at the role the Pats offensive line played in the team's awful run performance. 

                            Bears Pass Pro Struggles 

​In the first play, Jadaveon Clowney, who had two sacks, got his first thanks to poor technique from Germain Ifedi. At the snap, he takes a giant step over to the right in his initial pass set, which opens the door for Clowney, and he is never able to close it. If you look at how Clowney's stance is cocked and how he is aligned on Ifedi's outside shoulder, that should tell Ifedi that an inside pass rush is possible. Not saying that Clowney could not go outside, but because of how close he is, Clowney's body was in a position to do exactly what he did. Ifedi's initial pass set should have been straight back, and if Clowney takes the same trajectory in his rush then a quick inside kick slide step to either overtake him or if Clowney beats him to the spot, he is at least in position to wash him down. 
The next play was a combination of poor blitz pick-up by Jason Peters and Myles Garrett overpowering the TE, resulting in two players getting to Fields. It becomes clear very quickly at the top right of the screen that Garrett will beat Cole Kmet, number 85, but what really hurts in this play is the fact that Jason Peters did not block anyone. All linemen need to be award during the pre-snap phase, but especially when playing with a rookie making his first start. Odds are Fields is not ready to be calling out potential pre-snap blitz adjustments. Peters on the other hand is pushing 40 and should be able to look up and see that the OLB Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah is a potential blitz threat. One might give him the benefit of the doubt and say maybe Peters thought he was covering Kmet, but Kmet is in pass pro on this play, so that means he does not have a firm grasp on the playbook if he thought that. At the snap, Peters initially steps right to help Cody Whitehair, who has his guy blocked just fine on his own and does not look up to see if anyone blitzes until it is too late.
In the third play, Peters again is at fault. It is hard to tell what Peters is trying to do in this play. It is not typical for a lineman to cut block on 3rd and 14 unless the offense is just running some quick pass play and preparing to punt. However, based on the pass sets of the other four linemen and all the Bears receivers taking off down-field, that does not seem to be the case. So with an RB aligned to his side and prepared to help chip, it makes no sense for him to attempt a cut block. Beyond that, the execution of the cut block was so bad that it barely affects Garrett and he easily gets around Peters for another of his many sacks on the day.  
In play number four, Garrett is aligned inside at a DT position and just takes advantage of a mismatch with James Daniels to get another sack. What makes this play worse is the fact that Ifedi attempts to provide some minor help while also trying to block Clowney and Garrett sort of powers through him while beating Daniels as well. 
In the fifth play, Garrett is lined up inside again. This time he does not get the sack, but he causes so much disruption that he played a part in making a sack on this play happen. At one point in the play he appears to be getting blocked by three Bears offensive linemen, and none of them ever neutralize him. Tak McKinley also did a good job at the top of the screen beating Ifedi and all the attention Garrett draws makes Malik Jackson's job easy as he twisted behind Clowney and easily beat David Montgomery to get in on the action. It is poor pass pro design to have three guys blocking Garrett while leaving an RB to try and block a DT. 
Not much analysis is needed for play number six. Garrett beats Peters out of his stance and runs past him like he was not even there. What is weird about this play is that Garrett has been wreaking havoc all game and at pre-snap, and when the play initially starts, Peters is looking inside and appears to be more concerned with Clowney. Because of this, he turns his attention to Garrett too late, and he is already past Peters on his way to another sack. 
In the final play, Clowney gets the sack, but Garrett causes everything to break down. He beats Peters again, who this time has Garrett's attention, but it does not matter. Peters is in a decent position to block him or at least run him upfield, but he attempts to punch too, and his hands appear to be too wide. The result is Garrett easily swats Peters hands away and runs past him to make first contact with Fields, ultimately resulting in him running into Clowney for a sack. 
There are games when teams get high sack totals, and there is blame to go around due to backs or TEs getting beat or poor team blitz pickup. That was not the case in this game. The Bears offensive line played poorly, and it was primarily the play of potential future hall of famer Jason Peters that did the Bears in. When Peters was not getting physically outmatched by Garrett, it was mental errors that did him in. All seven of the sacks we examined were the fault of the offensive line, so that group has to take the brunt of the blame. ​

                                Patriots Run Struggles 

Now let's pivot and take a look at the Patriots running game. In the play below, the offensive line does a good enough job to get some yards on this play but the FB, Jakob Johnson, does not do a good job on the lead block which results in a short gain. 
In the next play, Jonnu Smith fails to sustain his outside block on Kaden Elliss, number 55 and that results in another short gain. David Andrews, the C, also fails to reach number 97, Malcolm Roach, who assisted on the tackle. Roach was lined up at DT in the playside A-gap, there is no reason he should have been in a position to help make a tackle that close to the sideline on that short of a gain. 
In play three, Michael Onwenu is pulling and simply fails to make contact with CB Paulson Adebo, which results in another short gain. 
In play four, Tanoh Kpassagnon, number 90 is highlighted instead of any Patriots because multiple Pats offensive linemen fail to block him, and he makes a tackle that stops the back for no gain. Both Isaiah Wynn and David Andrews pull left and attempt to block him, and neither is successful. 
In the final play, the result is a one-yard loss primarily because Cameron Jordan, number 94, so easily sheds Smith. But, what a theme in the running game for the Pats offensive line in this game was a lack of physicality, and that was on full display as Onwenu was nearly knocked to the ground by Chancey Gardner-Johson, a safety he outweighs by over 100 pounds. 
Overall, the Patriots struggles running the ball were not all the offensive lines fault as TEs and FBs also struggled to make blocks. However, there is no denying that the Pats offensive line is also not playing at the level they should be. They are not playing with the level of physicality many expected them to have, and worse, this unit is not executing at a high level. 
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Friday Film Room: Panthers Offensive Line Play

9/24/2021

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The Panthers are one of the surprise teams of 2021 so far after getting off to a 3-0 start. Their play on defense through three weeks has been the primary reason why, but the offense has contributed as well. Sam Darnold has been noticeably better with Carolina than he was in New York. So today, Friday Film Room will break down how the Panthers offensive line contributed to last night's big MNF victory. 

                                                             Run Blocking 
The Panthers ran the ball effectively last night, even without McCaffrey, which will bode well for them moving forward if they can duplicate that success. Their YPC numbers were skewed by Darnold runs, but overall, they averaged over four YPC on RB runs, and Chuba Hubbard looked good rushing for 52 yards on 11 carries. 

The play below is a 10-yard rush by McCaffrey. It was not perfect run blocking on this play but, McCaffrey's run ability combined with the efforts of Cam Irving allowed this play to work. Irving did not play great last night, but this was one of his better plays, as he blocked two players on this play. 
The next play is a 13-yard run by Royce Freeman and was one of the offensive line's best group run-blocking efforts of the night. The freeze-frame highlights how all five guys got a man blocked. 
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The third play was not a spectacular run, but it is significant because stringing together multiple four-yard runs is crucial to a successful running attack, and with McCaffrey out, the Panthers will have to rely on these kinds of runs to have success on the ground. The freeze-frame shows how a huge running lane was created by all five linemen being engaged or in the way of a defender. 
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                                                                 Pass Pro
The Panthers O-line line allowed plenty of pressure as Darnold was sacked three times and under fire plenty more. This is concerning because it could be a problem when they are facing the numerous teams left on their schedule who will have a better QB than Davis Mills and are able to put pressure on this offense by scoring more points. 

The play below was a total disaster. You rarely see all four offensive lineman get beat in pass pro, but that was the case in this play. Matt Paradis, the center, was dominated up the middle and allowed the sack. However, the tackles were just as bad on this play, especially Irving, who did not even attempt to shoot his hands. 
The next play is a Darnold completion for eight yards, and he had to make it completely under fire as the Panthers offensive line struggled with blitz pick-up on the play. 
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The next play was a sack, and though the TE allowed the sack, RT Taylor Moton contributed to the result of this play by allowing a defender to beat him inside. He has to work his feet laterally quicker to do a better job of neutralizing that pressure. 
Now we get to some of the good from the Panthers in pass pro. The play below shows a 16-yard completion from Darnold to DJ Moore. This was one of Darnold's best passes of the night and highlights what he is capable of when he has time to throw. 
The final play is a 24-yard completion to DJ Moore (Moore had a big game if you didn't watch) on a play-action pass. This was one of the best pockets Darnold was able to operate from all night, as he had five seconds to throw, and no Texan defender ever got close to him. 
Overall, the Panthers O-line played like you would expect the 24th ranked offensive line in our power rankings to perform. There was some good, and there was some bad. Moving forward, the Panthers need to try and focus on the things they did well and build on that. Their pass pro is always going to be inconsistent with liabilities like Irving and Dennis Daley upfront. However, the Panthers should be encouraged with their run-blocking. Carolina's offensive line had some times where they did not get it done run-blocking, but it was an overall solid performance, even when McCaffrey was not in the game, which is important. The Panthers had 34 pass attempts and 33 rush attempts. Some of those were scrambles on called passes, but their willingness to run and their effectiveness doing it will be the key to Carolina continuing their success or starting to come back to earth. ​
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